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Sports · Polymarket

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Trade on Polymarket →
63.50%
03 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMFri 0403 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM56586062646668%63.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$166.6K

Your call

The market says 63.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price63.50%
Spread + depth+0.25 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability63.75%
1569
Shares
$569
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.6%)
Mid Price
62.5¢
Total Depth
$432,209
Bid/Ask Imbalance
31% bid
Bids (Buy)
62.0¢90,631
61.0¢3,301
60.0¢8,794
59.0¢640
58.0¢438
57.0¢2,610
56.0¢5
52.0¢3,298
Asks (Sell)
63.0¢394
64.0¢67,142
65.0¢20,429
66.0¢113,526
67.0¢27,432
68.0¢27,424
69.0¢5,516
70.0¢428
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
63.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
63.75¢+1.19%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
63.97¢+1.55%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)63.38%
Platforms agree closely — 0.7pt spread.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketUS Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar63.50%63¢ / 64¢
83%
LimitlessAlex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar62.80%60.3¢ / 65.3¢
17%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 63.50%, based on $166.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 11, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (62.80%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 63.38%. See the full comparison table below.