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Sports · Limitless

Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Trade on Limitless →
63.50%
62.14% fee-adjusted
62.9% calibrated

Stats

24h Volume
$8

Your call

The market says 63.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
LimitlessLive best ask
Quoted price63.50%
Spread + depth+2.20 pts
Fee1.30% of stake
Break-even probability66.55%
1522
Shares
$509
Net if it wins

AMM — no order book published; the fee is the documented curve, the depth cost is unknown.

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)63.50%→ 62.9% calibrated
Platforms agree closely — 0pt spread.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
LimitlessAlex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar63.50%61.3¢ / 65.7¢
19%
PolymarketUS Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar63.50%63¢ / 64¢
81%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar"?

As of the latest update, Limitless prices this at 63.50%, based on $8 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 5, 2026, per Limitless's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Limitless. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Polymarket (63.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 63.50%. See the full comparison table below.