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Sports · Polymarket

Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia

Trade on Polymarket →
2.70%
Thu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PMMon 2812 PMTue 2912 PMWed 3012 PMOctober12 PMFri 0212 PMSat 0312 PMOct 0412 PMMon 0512 PMTue 0612 PM0102030405060708090%2.60%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 1.6% in 6d (0.7–3.3%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$225.4K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 2.7%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price2.70%
Spread + depth+3.15 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability5.85%
17084
Shares
$16,084
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.3¢ (55.3%)
Mid Price
2.4¢
Total Depth
$4,040
Bid/Ask Imbalance
4% bid
Bids (Buy)
1.7¢69
1.6¢1,000
1.3¢10,592
1.0¢100
0.7¢750
0.2¢10,000
0.1¢330
Asks (Sell)
3.0¢624
3.5¢200
4.3¢300
4.9¢10
5.0¢5,175
6.0¢5,176
6.3¢50
7.0¢7,666
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
4.25¢+41.72%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
5.85¢+95.11%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
17.07¢+469.12%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)2.54%
Platforms agree closely — 0.05pt spread.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketAustralia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia2.70%2¢ / 3.4¢
74%
LimitlessSouth Africa vs Australia2.50%0.5¢ / 4.5¢
26%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 2.70%, based on $225.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 7, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (2.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 2.54%. See the full comparison table below.