Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Sports · Polymarket

Will South Africa win on 2026-09-30?

Trade on Polymarket →
99.95%
Mon 2803 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMTue 2903 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMWed 3003 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM30405060708090100%99.95%

Stats

24h Volume
$49.1K

Your call

The market says 100.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive best ask
Quoted price99.50%
Spread + depth0.00 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability99.50%
1005
Shares
$5
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
—
Mid Price
—
Total Depth
$65,632
Bid/Ask Imbalance
100% bid
Bids (Buy)
99.9¢988
99.3¢20
99.1¢359
99.0¢20,808
96.0¢88
95.1¢14
95.0¢1,333
90.0¢200
Asks (Sell)
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
Insufficient depth
$1,000 order
Insufficient depth
$10,000 order
Insufficient depth

Full Race — 11 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

South AfricaViewing
99.95%
Sri Lanka
99.95%
FC Barcelona
99.95%
Lithuania
99.95%
Argentina
91.50%
Bolivia
3.25%
Eritrea
0.40%
Arsenal WFC
0.05%
Paris FC
0.05%
AS Roma
0.05%
Andorra
0.05%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessSouth Africa vs Australia
2.00%
Same bet?

Similar Sports Markets

Limitless logoLimitless
2.00%+4900

South Africa vs Australia

2.00%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $1.2K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 43.9524H
2.55%+3822

Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia

2.55%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $229.3K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 424H
68.50%-217

Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?

68.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $317.7K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 41.9524H
99.95%

Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-30?

99.95%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $85.0K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 0.224H
1.10%

Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?

1.10%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $48.7K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 14.4524H
0.05%

Will Andorra win on 2026-09-30?

0.05%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $46.7K

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will South Africa win on 2026-09-30?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 99.95%, based on $49.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.