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Sports · Polymarket

Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?

Trade on Polymarket →
65.00%
64.4% calibrated
Sat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PMMon 2812 PMTue 2912 PMWed 3040455055606570%65.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$23.8K

Your call

The market says 65.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price65.00%
Spread + depth+1.00 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability66.00%
1515
Shares
$515
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (3.1%)
Mid Price
65.0¢
Total Depth
$210,024
Bid/Ask Imbalance
21% bid
Bids (Buy)
64.0¢17,719
63.0¢13,868
62.0¢18,801
61.0¢8,043
60.0¢3,767
59.0¢675
58.0¢161
57.0¢1,120
Asks (Sell)
66.0¢14,642
67.0¢35,222
68.0¢29,967
69.0¢39,008
70.0¢17,251
71.0¢5,030
72.0¢9,050
73.0¢5,056
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
66.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
66.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
66.03¢+0.05%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 65.00%, based on $23.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.