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Sports · Polymarket

Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?

Trade on Polymarket →
46.50%
45.6% calibrated
Sat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PMMon 2812 PMTue 2912 PMWed 30384042444648505254565860%46.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$74.7K

Your call

The market says 46.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price46.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability47.00%
2128
Shares
$1,128
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.2%)
Mid Price
46.5¢
Total Depth
$151,811
Bid/Ask Imbalance
23% bid
Bids (Buy)
46.0¢11,707
45.0¢20,437
44.0¢17,264
43.0¢12,970
42.0¢5,164
41.0¢174
40.0¢2,119
39.0¢173
Asks (Sell)
47.0¢4,184
48.0¢47,541
49.0¢24,399
50.0¢11,861
51.0¢10,741
52.0¢5,154
53.0¢19,674
54.0¢7,107
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
47.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
47.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
47.80¢+1.70%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 46.50%, based on $74.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.