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Culture · Polymarket

Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
66.00%
06:3007 AM07:3008 AM08:3009 AM09:3010 AM10:3011 AM11:3012 PM12:3001 PM01:3002 PM02:305254565860626466%64.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$12.5K

Your call

The market says 66.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price66.00%
Spread + depth+13.03 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability79.03%
1265
Shares
$265
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
4.0¢ (6.1%)
Mid Price
66.0¢
Total Depth
$13,328
Bid/Ask Imbalance
98% bid
Bids (Buy)
64.0¢28
63.0¢440
62.0¢259
61.0¢808
60.0¢912
59.0¢1,505
58.0¢6,543
57.0¢300
Asks (Sell)
68.0¢10
69.0¢199
73.0¢5
90.0¢5
91.0¢50
96.0¢16
97.0¢30
98.0¢30
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
68.93¢+1.37%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
79.03¢+16.23%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
79.03¢+16.23%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 66.00%, based on $12.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 14, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.