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Sports · Polymarket

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?

Trade on Polymarket →
73.50%
74.5% calibrated
12 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 154550556065707580%73.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$45.2K

Your call

The market says 73.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price73.50%
Spread + depth+0.66 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability74.16%
1348
Shares
$348
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.4%)
Mid Price
73.5¢
Total Depth
$213,397
Bid/Ask Imbalance
36% bid
Bids (Buy)
73.0¢40,579
72.0¢17,854
71.0¢24,902
70.0¢10,068
69.0¢2,073
68.0¢3,189
67.0¢919
66.0¢934
Asks (Sell)
74.0¢1,133
75.0¢4,420
76.0¢16,776
77.0¢38,185
78.0¢10,348
79.0¢12,207
80.0¢14,470
81.0¢5,062
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
74.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
74.16¢+0.22%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
75.50¢+2.02%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 4 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Real Madrid CF
81.50%
Arsenal FCViewing
73.50%
Deportivo Alavés
55.50%
Elche CF
6.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 73.50%, based on $45.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.