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Culture · Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
24.50%
09 PMSep 1303 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMMon 1403 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM1416182022242628%24.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$5.8K

Your call

The market says 24.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price24.50%
Spread + depth+3.37 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability27.87%
3588
Shares
$2,588
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (4.1%)
Mid Price
24.5¢
Total Depth
$8,965
Bid/Ask Imbalance
10% bid
Bids (Buy)
24.0¢293
23.0¢205
22.0¢862
21.0¢537
20.0¢650
19.0¢50
18.0¢456
17.0¢361
Asks (Sell)
25.0¢522
26.0¢295
27.0¢569
28.0¢771
29.0¢605
30.0¢1,388
31.0¢869
32.0¢563
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
25.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
27.87¢+11.48%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
48.16¢+92.65%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 24.50%, based on $5.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 16, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.