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Culture · Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
44.00%
Sep 2706 AM12 PM06 PMMon 2806 AM12 PM06 PMTue 2906 AM12 PM06 PMWed 300510152025303540455055%43.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$61.3K

Your call

The market says 44.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price44.00%
Spread + depth+3.71 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability47.71%
2096
Shares
$1,096
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (4.7%)
Mid Price
43.0¢
Total Depth
$12,948
Bid/Ask Imbalance
11% bid
Bids (Buy)
42.0¢206
41.0¢255
40.0¢266
39.0¢319
37.0¢200
36.0¢21
35.0¢297
34.0¢15
Asks (Sell)
44.0¢204
45.0¢178
46.0¢150
47.0¢414
48.0¢521
49.0¢65
50.0¢302
51.0¢707
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
44.10¢+0.23%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
47.71¢+8.43%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
84.15¢+91.25%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 44.00%, based on $61.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.