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Sports · Polymarket

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?

Trade on Polymarket →
56.50%
54.2% calibrated
12 PMTue 2512 PMWed 2612 PMThu 2712 PMFri 2812 PMSat 2912 PMAug 3012 PMMon 3112 PMSeptember12 PMWed 0212 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PMSep 065456586062646668%56.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$39.2K

Your call

The market says 56.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price56.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability57.00%
1754
Shares
$754
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.8%)
Mid Price
56.5¢
Total Depth
$693,191
Bid/Ask Imbalance
47% bid
Bids (Buy)
56.0¢113,186
55.0¢291,133
54.0¢99,437
53.0¢76,139
52.0¢171
51.0¢2,350
50.0¢10
49.0¢50
Asks (Sell)
57.0¢48,040
58.0¢176,382
59.0¢102,843
60.0¢119,986
61.0¢14,045
62.0¢6,058
63.0¢11,272
64.0¢6,644
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
57.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
57.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
57.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 5 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

FC Barcelona
75.50%
Arsenal FCViewing
56.50%
Manchester United FC
45.50%
Chelsea FC
19.50%
Valencia CF
9.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 56.50%, based on $39.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 6, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.