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Sports · Polymarket

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?

Trade on Polymarket →
64.50%
Aug 23Mon 24Tue 25Wed 26Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 045860626466687072%64.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$282.4K

Your call

The market says 64.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price64.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability65.00%
1538
Shares
$538
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.6%)
Mid Price
64.5¢
Total Depth
$1,869,140
Bid/Ask Imbalance
41% bid
Bids (Buy)
64.0¢115,329
63.0¢417,021
62.0¢370,498
61.0¢314,944
60.0¢3,201
59.0¢1,350
58.0¢1,335
57.0¢150
Asks (Sell)
65.0¢427,539
66.0¢264,779
67.0¢396,036
68.0¢108,653
69.0¢88,599
70.0¢105,556
71.0¢5,050
72.0¢10,050
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
65.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
65.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
65.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 14 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Olympique Lyonnais
93.50%
FC Porto
86.50%
Galatasaray SK
77.50%
Al Hilal Saudi Club
74.50%
Paris Saint-Germain FC
72.50%
Real Madrid CF
67.50%
VfB Stuttgart
66.50%
Liverpool FCViewing
64.50%
Como 1907
56.50%
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
36.50%
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club
27.50%
Viborg FF
26.00%
Abha Saudi Club
14.50%
AJ Auxerre
1.35%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldEPL Week 3 Liverpool vs Ipswich- Will Liverpool WIN @ Ipswich?
65.84%
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 64.50%, based on $282.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 4, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.