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Sports · Polymarket

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-15?

Trade on Polymarket →
86.50%
Thu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 15405060708090%86.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$2.3K

Your call

The market says 86.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price86.50%
Spread + depth+0.58 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability87.08%
1148
Shares
$148
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.2%)
Mid Price
86.5¢
Total Depth
$104,265
Bid/Ask Imbalance
24% bid
Bids (Buy)
86.0¢5,343
85.0¢4,203
84.0¢7,474
83.0¢7,393
82.0¢1,917
81.0¢236
80.0¢314
79.0¢16
Asks (Sell)
87.0¢1,051
88.0¢11,934
89.0¢17,197
90.0¢19,657
91.0¢2,821
92.0¢5,858
93.0¢2,854
94.0¢1,737
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
87.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
87.08¢+0.10%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
87.91¢+1.04%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 3 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

AFC AjaxViewing
86.50%
Real Madrid CF
80.50%
Elche CF
6.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-15?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 86.50%, based on $2.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.