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Sports · Polymarket

Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29?

Trade on Polymarket →
71.50%
69.5% calibrated
Wed 16Thu 17Fri 18Sat 19Sep 20Mon 21Tue 22Wed 23Thu 24Fri 25Sat 26Sep 27Mon 28Tue 29404550556065707580%71.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$91.2K

Your call

The market says 71.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price71.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability72.00%
1389
Shares
$389
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.4%)
Mid Price
71.5¢
Total Depth
$307,241
Bid/Ask Imbalance
23% bid
Bids (Buy)
71.0¢22,145
70.0¢23,439
69.0¢15,156
68.0¢9,267
67.0¢3,080
66.0¢1,180
65.0¢685
64.0¢95
Asks (Sell)
72.0¢10,083
73.0¢25,962
74.0¢34,592
75.0¢33,452
76.0¢29,687
77.0¢5,832
78.0¢1,335
79.0¢10,265
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
72.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
72.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
72.27¢+0.38%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 6 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Spain
81.50%
England
74.50%
BrazilViewing
71.50%
Australia
11.50%
Croatia
6.50%
San Marino
1.75%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 71.50%, based on $91.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 29, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.