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Sports · Polymarket

Will Maldives win on 2026-09-24?

Trade on Polymarket →
1.05%
04 PM05 PM06 PM07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PMThu 2401 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM00.511.522.533.544.55%1.65%

Stats

24h Volume
$36.6K

Your call

The market says 1.1%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price1.05%
Spread + depth+7.69 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability8.74%
11448
Shares
$10,448
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (9.5%)
Mid Price
1.0¢
Total Depth
$398,301
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
1.0¢516
0.6¢170
0.3¢305
0.2¢1,088
0.1¢251
Asks (Sell)
1.1¢16
1.2¢16
1.3¢16
1.4¢16
1.6¢94
1.7¢16
1.8¢64
2.0¢382
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
2.59¢+135.01%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
8.74¢+694.13%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
37.39¢+3299.52%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 6 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Japan
55.50%
Norway
53.50%
Germany
37.50%
Israel
12.50%
Wales
4.50%
MaldivesViewing
1.05%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Maldives win on 2026-09-24?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 1.05%, based on $36.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 24, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.