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Sports · Polymarket

Will Wales win on 2026-09-24?

Trade on Polymarket →
5.50%
Sat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 240102030405060%5.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$42.7K

Your call

The market says 5.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price5.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability6.00%
16667
Shares
$15,667
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (18.2%)
Mid Price
5.5¢
Total Depth
$53,196
Bid/Ask Imbalance
30% bid
Bids (Buy)
5.0¢1,841
4.0¢170,886
3.0¢74,240
2.0¢176,346
1.0¢337,113
Asks (Sell)
6.0¢44,238
7.0¢102,141
8.0¢38,804
9.0¢41,914
10.0¢27,875
11.0¢5,006
12.0¢6,250
13.0¢5,022
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
6.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
6.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
6.72¢+11.99%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 5 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Japan
58.50%
Norway
55.50%
Germany
36.50%
WalesViewing
5.50%
Maldives
0.80%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Wales win on 2026-09-24?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 5.50%, based on $42.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 24, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.