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Culture · Polymarket

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 5?

Trade on Polymarket →
0.15%
12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMFri 0403 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMSat 0503 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PM024681012%0.15%

Stats

24h Volume
$60.1K

Your call

The market says 0.1%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price0.50%
Spread + depth+32.87 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability33.37%
2997
Shares
$1,997
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (66.7%)
Mid Price
0.1¢
Total Depth
$768
Bid/Ask Imbalance
2% bid
Bids (Buy)
0.1¢12,999
Asks (Sell)
0.2¢487
0.5¢20
0.6¢500
0.7¢5
0.9¢1
1.0¢28
3.8¢5
4.0¢6
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
6.58¢+3190.22%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
33.37¢+16584.11%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
33.37¢+16584.11%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 5?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 0.15%, based on $60.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 5, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.