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Politics · Polymarket

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Trade on Polymarket →
59.50%
Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 153035404550556065707580%59.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 64.5% in 14d (56.8–71.5%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$48.3K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
3.0¢ (5.0%)
Mid Price
59.5¢
Total Depth
$847,329
Bid/Ask Imbalance
2% bid
Bids (Buy)
58.0¢2,300
57.0¢20
56.0¢941
55.0¢213
53.0¢18
52.0¢100
51.0¢47
50.0¢300
Asks (Sell)
61.0¢842
62.0¢485
63.0¢2,376
64.0¢2,342
65.0¢3,305
66.0¢434
67.0¢4,786
68.0¢3,532
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
61.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
61.66¢+1.09%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
65.03¢+6.61%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 59.50%, based on $48.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.