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Politics · Polymarket

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Trade on Polymarket →
73.50%
Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 154045505560657075808590%73.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 78.8% in 14d (73.1–83.6%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$29.2K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.4%)
Mid Price
73.5¢
Total Depth
$186,834
Bid/Ask Imbalance
18% bid
Bids (Buy)
73.0¢500
72.0¢10
71.0¢1,982
70.0¢859
69.0¢205
68.0¢1,380
67.0¢3,000
66.0¢4,493
Asks (Sell)
74.0¢200
75.0¢2,618
76.0¢2,045
77.0¢11,497
78.0¢7,406
79.0¢681
80.0¢195
81.0¢812
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
74.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
74.85¢+1.15%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
76.40¢+3.24%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 73.50%, based on $29.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.