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Politics · Kalshi

Chris Van Hollen — Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

Trade on Kalshi →
38.50%
34.20% fee-adjusted
Jun 07Jun 14Jun 21Jun 28Jul 05Jul 12Jul 19Jul 26Aug 02Aug 09Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30Sep 06222426283032343638404244%33.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 34.4% in 14d (28.9–40.3%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$0
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Other Real Candidates — 38 Total

Every other real Kalshi contract for this exact same question, ranked by real live probability.

Andy Beshear
86.00%
Pete Buttigieg
85.50%
Gavin Newsom
83.50%
Cory Booker
81.50%
Rahm Emanuel
81.50%
Kamala Harris
78.50%
J.B. Pritzker
77.50%
Ro Khanna
77.50%
Josh Shapiro
76.00%
Wes Moore
70.50%
Mark Kelly
69.50%
Jon Ossoff
68.00%
Chris Murphy
64.00%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
63.50%
Mitch Landrieu
60.00%
Elissa Slotkin
46.00%
Raphael Warnock
45.00%
Chris Van HollenViewing
38.50%
Jared Polis
37.50%
Shawn Fain
32.50%
Ruben Gallego
30.00%
Phil Murphy
27.00%
Gretchen Whitmer
25.50%
Stephen A. Smith
23.50%
Dean Phillips
23.00%
Abigail Spanberger
22.00%
John Fetterman
20.50%
Mikie Sherrill
19.00%
Roy Cooper
18.50%
Jon Stewart
16.00%
Mark Cuban
15.00%
Hunter Biden
14.50%
James Talarico
12.50%
Michelle Obama
8.05%
Tim Walz
7.55%
Amy Klobuchar
7.50%
Hillary Clinton
2.95%
Barack Obama
2.60%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Chris Van Hollen — Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?"?

As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 38.50%, based on $0 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2028, per Kalshi's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.