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Politics · Kalshi

John Thune — Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

Trade on Kalshi →
6.30%
0.00% fee-adjusted
Sat 27Mon 29JulyFri 03Jul 05Tue 07Thu 09Sat 11Mon 13Wed 15Fri 17Jul 19Tue 21Thu 23Sat 25Mon 27Wed 29Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31September02468101214161820%9.40%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 8.5% in 14d (4.2–16.3%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$0
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Other Real Candidates — 35 Total

Every other real Kalshi contract for this exact same question, ranked by real live probability.

J.D. Vance
81.00%
Ted Cruz
75.50%
Ron DeSantis
64.50%
Marco Rubio
60.00%
Thomas Massie
49.00%
Rand Paul
43.50%
Glenn Youngkin
37.00%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
35.50%
Brian Kemp
34.50%
John McEntee
32.00%
Josh Hawley
31.50%
Gregory Bovino
29.50%
Tulsi Gabbard
29.00%
Tucker Carlson
28.00%
Vivek Ramaswamy
26.50%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
26.50%
Donald J. Trump Jr.
25.50%
Steve Bannon
22.50%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
21.50%
Nikki Haley
21.00%
Byron Donalds
21.00%
Pete Hegseth
19.50%
Greg Abbott
18.50%
Spencer Pratt
15.50%
Jeff Bezos
15.00%
Donald J. Trump
14.50%
Erika Kirk
14.50%
Tim Scott
13.00%
Larry Hogan
13.00%
Elise Stefanik
12.00%
Katie Britt
10.90%
Jared Kushner
10.50%
John ThuneViewing
6.30%
Matt Gaetz
5.40%
Elon Musk
3.20%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

PolymarketWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "John Thune — Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?"?

As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 6.30%, based on $0 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2028, per Kalshi's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.