Culture · Kalshi

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

42.00%

37.94% fee-adjusted

Model projection: 32.5% in 14d (25.8–40.0%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Kalshi consensus prices "No" at 58% on "Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?", backed by $438 in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $438
Momentum: -0.00pt/day

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?"?

As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 42.00%, based on $438 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2035, per Kalshi's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.