16.49%
Executive Briefing
Live Manifold consensus prices "No" at 83.51% on "Will California be in a drought at end of August 2027?", backed by 144 Mana in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- 144 Mana
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will California be in a drought at end of August 2027?"?
As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 16.49%, based on 144 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around August 31, 2027, per Manifold's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.