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Politics · Kalshi

Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker of the House?

Trade on Kalshi →
12.50%
6.38% fee-adjusted
Jun 07Jun 14Jun 21Jun 28Jul 05Jul 12Jul 19Jul 26Aug 02Aug 09Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30Sep 0646810121416182022%10.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 9.0% in 14d (6.7–11.9%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$0
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 12.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
KalshiLive best ask
Quoted price12.50%
Spread + depth+2.50 pts
Fee5.95% of stake
Break-even probability15.89%
6667
Shares
$5,607
Net if it wins

Other Real Candidates — 3 Total

Every other real Kalshi contract for this exact same question, ranked by real live probability.

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Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker of the House?"?

As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 12.50%, based on $0 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2031, per Kalshi's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.