Executive Briefing
Live Kalshi consensus prices "Yes" at 83.5% on "Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?", backed by $32 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $32
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Your call
The market says 83.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.
True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
Other Real Candidates — 3 Total
Every other real Kalshi contract for this exact same question, ranked by real live probability.
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
Similar Politics Markets
ManifoldWill Hakeem Jeffries be Speaker following the 2026 Election?
no history published
PredictItWhich party will win the House in the 2026 election?: Republican
no history published
PredictItWhich party will win the House in the 2026 election?: Democratic
no history published
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US House election in Maine's 2nd District?: Republican
no history published
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US House election in Maine's 2nd District?: Democratic
no history published
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US House election in Arizona's 1st District?: Republican
no history published
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?"?
As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 83.50%, based on $32 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2031, per Kalshi's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.