Executive Briefing
Live Kalshi consensus prices "No" at 94.2% on "Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?", backed by $98 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $98
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Your call
The market says 5.8%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
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True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?"?
As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 5.80%, based on $98 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2030, per Kalshi's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.