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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
60.50%
59.4% calibrated
12 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PM303540455055606570%61.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$154.5K

Your call

The market says 60.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price60.50%
Spread + depth+1.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability62.00%
1613
Shares
$613
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.6%)
Mid Price
61.5¢
Total Depth
$477,908
Bid/Ask Imbalance
33% bid
Bids (Buy)
61.0¢16,431
60.0¢79,689
59.0¢26,573
58.0¢39,367
57.0¢46,095
56.0¢8,310
55.0¢3,696
53.0¢18,750
Asks (Sell)
62.0¢10,034
63.0¢42,098
64.0¢29,095
65.0¢102,911
66.0¢5,723
67.0¢2,335
68.0¢1,935
69.0¢45
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
62.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
62.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
62.37¢+0.60%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 60.50%, based on $154.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.