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Sports · Polymarket

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-15?

Trade on Polymarket →
42.50%
44.9% calibrated
12 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PM4042444648505254%42.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$19.1K

Your call

The market says 42.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price42.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability43.00%
2326
Shares
$1,326
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.4%)
Mid Price
42.5¢
Total Depth
$190,702
Bid/Ask Imbalance
28% bid
Bids (Buy)
42.0¢16,497
41.0¢35,027
40.0¢36,601
39.0¢12,865
38.0¢6,042
37.0¢7,175
36.0¢60
35.0¢5,000
Asks (Sell)
43.0¢28,532
44.0¢114,795
45.0¢36,835
46.0¢21,433
47.0¢8,730
48.0¢7,220
49.0¢6,351
50.0¢5,183
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
43.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
43.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
43.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 3 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Real Madrid CF
79.50%
Rayo Vallecano de MadridViewing
42.50%
Elche CF
7.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-15?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 42.50%, based on $19.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.