Will the US enact binding pre-deployment evals with power to block frontier AI releases, before 2030?
Trade on Manifold →Executive Briefing
Live Manifold consensus prices "No" at 80% on "Will the US enact binding pre-deployment evals with power to block frontier AI releases, before 2030?", backed by 0 Mana in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- 0 Mana
Your call
The market says 20.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will the US enact binding pre-deployment evals with power to block frontier AI releases, before 2030?"?
As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 20.00%, based on 0 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2030, per Manifold's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.