Sports · Manifold

EPL: Newcastle United (Draw No Bet) vs. AFC Bournemouth – Premier League (Sep 5, 2026)

Q: What is the current probability for "EPL: Newcastle United (Draw No Bet) vs. AFC Bournemouth – Premier League (Sep 5, 2026)"?

As of the latest build, live consensus prices this at 50%. See the live page for real-time odds and full price history.

Q: Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Manifold — see the link on this page for the live order book.

Trade on Manifold →

49.98%

32.8% calibrated

Executive Briefing

Live Manifold consensus prices "No" at 50.02% on "EPL: Newcastle United (Draw No Bet) vs. AFC Bournemouth – Premier League (Sep 5, 2026)", backed by 10 Mana in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: 10 Mana

Your call

The market says 50.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side

Order

ManifoldQuoted price only

Quoted price49.98%

Spread + depth0.00 pts

Fee0.00% of stake

Break-even probability49.98%

2001

$1,001

Net if it wins

AMM — no order book or best ask published, so the real spread and depth cost are unknown.

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

PolymarketWill Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

0.40%

Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "EPL: Newcastle United (Draw No Bet) vs. AFC Bournemouth – Premier League (Sep 5, 2026)"?

As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 49.98%, based on 10 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 5, 2026, per Manifold's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.