Politics · Manifold

Will New Zealand's Online Safety Bill receive a first-reading vote before October 1?

Q: What is the current probability for "Will New Zealand's Online Safety Bill receive a first-reading vote before October 1?"?

As of the latest build, live consensus prices this at 42%. See the live page for real-time odds and full price history.

Q: Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Manifold — see the link on this page for the live order book.

33.84%

Executive Briefing

Live Manifold consensus prices "No" at 66.16% on "Will New Zealand's Online Safety Bill receive a first-reading vote before October 1?", backed by 10 Mana in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: 10 Mana

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will New Zealand's Online Safety Bill receive a first-reading vote before October 1?"?

As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 33.84%, based on 10 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 29, 2026, per Manifold's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.