Will Mazda officially announce the production of a new Rotary engined car before 2030?
Trade on Manifold →Executive Briefing
Live Manifold consensus prices "No" at 66.22% on "Will Mazda officially announce the production of a new Rotary engined car before 2030?", backed by 40 Mana in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- 40 Mana
Your call
The market says 33.8%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.
True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
AMM — no order book or best ask published, so the real spread and depth cost are unknown.
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Culture Markets
ManifoldWill a non-expert solve a Millennium Problem by EOY 2030?
no history published
Polymarket
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?
no history published
ManifoldUK Autumn Budget 2026: will an annual wealth tax be announced?
no history published
ManifoldUK Autumn Budget 2026: will a land value tax be announced?
no history published
Polymarket
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
no history published
PolymarketWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
no history published
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will Mazda officially announce the production of a new Rotary engined car before 2030?"?
As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 33.78%, based on 40 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2029, per Manifold's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.