Will the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029?
Trade on Manifold →Executive Briefing
Live Manifold consensus prices "No" at 64.43% on "Will the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029?", backed by 64 Mana in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- 64 Mana
Your call
The market says 35.6%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.
True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
AMM — no order book or best ask published, so the real spread and depth cost are unknown.
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Culture Markets
ManifoldNew Melee Tier List before 2029?
no history published
ManifoldWill there be a Normal/Bug Pokemon released by the end of 2029?
no history published
ManifoldWill there be a Fire/Fairy Pokemon released by the end of 2029?
no history published
ManifoldWill anybody make a prediction market a baby photo before 2029?
no history published
ManifoldWill google maps say Lake Ontario and not lake America at the end of February 2029?
no history published
ManifoldWill California be in a drought at end of August 2027?
no history published
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will the U.S. prime-age employment-population ratio be below 50.0% in August 2029?"?
As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 35.57%, based on 64 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around August 31, 2029, per Manifold's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.