Sports · Polymarket

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

45.50%

Model projection: 46.0% in 7d (42.0–50.1%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 54.5% on "Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees", backed by $36.1K in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $36.1K
Momentum: +0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 45.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?

Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side

Order

PolymarketLive order book

Quoted price45.50%

Spread + depth+0.50 pts

Fee0.00% of stake

Break-even probability46.00%

2174

$1,174

Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

1.0¢ (2.2%)

Mid Price

45.5¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$160,089

Bid/Ask Imbalance

45% bid

Bids (Buy)

45.0¢119

44.0¢20,464

43.0¢35,920

42.0¢39,155

41.0¢31,204

40.0¢14,760

39.0¢5,705

38.0¢5,868

Asks (Sell)

46.0¢68,187

47.0¢14,076

48.0¢25,842

49.0¢6,580

50.0¢5,930

51.0¢5,825

52.0¢4,969

53.0¢225

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

46.00¢0.00%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

46.00¢-0.00%

avg fill · slippage

$10,000 order

46.00¢0.00%

avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldMLB: Will either the Red Sox or the Yankees sweep their 2026 AL Wild Card series (2–0)?

50.11%

Same bet?

Similar Sports Markets

Manifold

50.11%-100

MLB: Will either the Red Sox or the Yankees sweep their 2026 AL Wild Card series (2–0)?

50.11%Live price only —
no history published

Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?

0.15%Live price only —
no history published

Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?

3.00%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $43.2K

Manifold

50.64%-103

MLB: Will either the White Sox or the Astros sweep their 2026 AL Wild Card series (2–0)?

50.64%Live price only —
no history published

VOL 3 Mana

Polymarket

99.95%

China Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Talia Gibson

99.95%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $473.3K

Polymarket

0.15%

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

0.15%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $450.5K

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 45.50%, based on $36.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 8, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.