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Sports · Polymarket

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Trade on Polymarket →
88.50%
Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 0930405060708090100%92.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 91.7% in 6d (87.9–94.4%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$171.5K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 88.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price88.50%
Spread + depth+4.47 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability92.97%
1076
Shares
$76
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.1%)
Mid Price
91.5¢
Total Depth
$32,676
Bid/Ask Imbalance
46% bid
Bids (Buy)
91.0¢494
90.0¢299
89.0¢296
79.0¢389
74.0¢10,000
69.0¢8
65.0¢150
57.0¢226
Asks (Sell)
92.0¢33
93.0¢497
94.0¢562
95.0¢55
96.0¢139
97.0¢815
98.0¢6,439
99.0¢9,430
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
92.69¢+0.75%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
93.47¢+1.60%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
97.56¢+6.05%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldMLB: Will the Cleveland Guardians sweep the Minnesota Twins OR will the 3-game series total 25 or more runs?
50.24%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 88.50%, based on $171.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 11, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.