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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
36.50%
35.7% calibrated
Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 153234363840424446%38.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$52.3K

Your call

The market says 36.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price36.50%
Spread + depth+3.60 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability40.10%
2494
Shares
$1,494
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.5%)
Mid Price
39.5¢
Total Depth
$725,909
Bid/Ask Imbalance
5% bid
Bids (Buy)
39.0¢2,273
38.0¢18,861
37.0¢6,051
36.0¢217
35.0¢8,381
34.0¢10,260
31.0¢25
30.0¢25
Asks (Sell)
40.0¢2,240
41.0¢13,676
42.0¢576
43.0¢224
44.0¢5,050
45.0¢18,638
46.0¢94
47.0¢25
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
40.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
40.10¢+0.25%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
41.93¢+4.83%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 36.50%, based on $52.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.