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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
33.50%
35.0% calibrated
Fri 1106 AM12 PM06 PMSat 1206 AM12 PM06 PMSep 1306 AM12 PM06 PMMon 1406 AM12 PM06 PMTue 152830323436384042%35.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$50.5K

Your call

The market says 33.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price33.50%
Spread + depth+3.78 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability37.28%
2682
Shares
$1,682
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (5.6%)
Mid Price
36.0¢
Total Depth
$728,355
Bid/Ask Imbalance
3% bid
Bids (Buy)
35.0¢322
34.0¢2,429
33.0¢2,129
32.0¢12,904
31.0¢3,310
30.0¢794
29.0¢5,030
25.0¢25
Asks (Sell)
37.0¢2,429
40.0¢8,312
41.0¢882
42.0¢6,363
46.0¢1,000
47.0¢145
56.0¢1,971
57.0¢142
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
37.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
37.28¢+0.77%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
43.89¢+18.62%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 33.50%, based on $50.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.