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Sports · Polymarket

Lions vs. Bills

Trade on Polymarket →
30.50%
32.8% calibrated
Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 1726283032343638404244%30.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$7.0M

Your call

The market says 30.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price30.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability31.00%
3226
Shares
$2,226
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.3%)
Mid Price
30.5¢
Total Depth
$5,254,759
Bid/Ask Imbalance
40% bid
Bids (Buy)
30.0¢2,610,065
29.0¢1,550,525
28.0¢3,056,478
27.0¢22,728
26.0¢1,503
25.0¢85
24.0¢2,055
23.0¢80
Asks (Sell)
31.0¢4,002,995
32.0¢2,783,827
33.0¢1,270,589
34.0¢42,110
35.0¢6,519
36.0¢4,445
37.0¢630
38.0¢25
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
31.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
31.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
31.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)30.50%
Platforms agree closely — 0pt spread.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketLions vs. Bills30.50%30¢ / 31¢
81%
LimitlessLions vs. Bills30.50%28.4¢ / 32.6¢
19%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Lions vs. Bills"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 30.50%, based on $7.0M in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 18, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (30.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 30.50%. See the full comparison table below.