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Sports · Polymarket

Colts vs. Commanders

Trade on Polymarket →
64.50%
65.3% calibrated
Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 27Tue 29OctoberSat 03404550556065707580%64.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 67.2% in 5d (59.6–74.0%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$58.8K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 64.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price64.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability65.00%
1538
Shares
$538
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.6%)
Mid Price
64.5¢
Total Depth
$96,287
Bid/Ask Imbalance
52% bid
Bids (Buy)
64.0¢17,763
63.0¢7,563
62.0¢21,768
61.0¢26,021
60.0¢217
59.0¢456
58.0¢861
57.0¢830
Asks (Sell)
65.0¢25,310
66.0¢13,079
67.0¢7,542
68.0¢1,067
69.0¢880
70.0¢830
71.0¢80
72.0¢80
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
65.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
65.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
65.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldNFL Week 4: Will the total combined score of the Colts vs. Commanders London game be OVER 46.5 points?
50.00%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Colts vs. Commanders"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 64.50%, based on $58.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 4, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.