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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: Colts (-3.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
49.50%
Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 27Tue 29OctoberSat 033035404550556065%49.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 51.0% in 5d (44.3–57.7%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$98.5K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 49.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price49.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability50.00%
2000
Shares
$1,000
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.0%)
Mid Price
49.5¢
Total Depth
$54,767
Bid/Ask Imbalance
24% bid
Bids (Buy)
49.0¢6,030
48.0¢7,010
47.0¢9,463
46.0¢217
45.0¢250
44.0¢257
43.0¢800
42.0¢600
Asks (Sell)
50.0¢45,550
51.0¢11,383
52.0¢3,732
53.0¢4,982
54.0¢1,005
55.0¢650
56.0¢800
68.0¢750
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
50.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
50.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
50.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: Colts (-3.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 49.50%, based on $98.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 4, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.