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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
59.50%
57.4% calibrated
Thu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PMMon 2812 PMTue 2925303540455055606570%59.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$41.2K

Your call

The market says 59.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price59.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability60.00%
1667
Shares
$667
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.7%)
Mid Price
59.5¢
Total Depth
$139,554
Bid/Ask Imbalance
32% bid
Bids (Buy)
59.0¢2,074
58.0¢16,670
57.0¢29,428
56.0¢13,215
55.0¢4,057
54.0¢2,296
52.0¢1,250
48.0¢512
Asks (Sell)
60.0¢5,048
61.0¢6,936
62.0¢20,035
63.0¢56,744
64.0¢9,384
65.0¢7,566
66.0¢19,899
67.0¢7,222
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
60.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
60.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
60.96¢+1.60%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: Spain (-1.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 59.50%, based on $41.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 29, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.