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Sports · Polymarket

Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?

Trade on Polymarket →
43.50%
45.1% calibrated
Mon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PM3436384042444648%43.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$259.3K

Your call

The market says 43.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price43.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability44.00%
2273
Shares
$1,273
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.3%)
Mid Price
43.5¢
Total Depth
$211,776
Bid/Ask Imbalance
53% bid
Bids (Buy)
43.0¢9,461
42.0¢36,316
41.0¢74,280
40.0¢56,153
39.0¢33,795
38.0¢31,824
37.0¢29,881
35.0¢5,000
Asks (Sell)
44.0¢39,296
45.0¢11,338
46.0¢24,445
47.0¢16,889
48.0¢6,600
49.0¢6,305
50.0¢5,026
51.0¢5,097
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
44.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
44.00¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
44.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 43.50%, based on $259.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 26, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.