Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Sports · Manifold

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Championship?

Trade on Manifold →
92.99%

Stats

24h Volume
141 Mana

Your call

The market says 93.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
ManifoldQuoted price only
Quoted price92.99%
Spread + depth0.00 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability92.99%
1075
Shares
$75
Net if it wins

AMM — no order book or best ask published, so the real spread and depth cost are unknown.

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Similar Sports Markets

Polymarket logoPolymarket
0.15%

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

0.15%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $426.4K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 1524H
57.50%-135

Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25?

57.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $308.2K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 524H
73.50%-277

Will France win on 2026-09-25?

73.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $237.9K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 224H
10.50%+852

Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-25?

10.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $47.9K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 524H
14.50%+590

Will Australia win on 2026-09-25?

14.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $76.5K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
52.50%-111

Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25?

52.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $86.7K

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Championship?"?

As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 92.99%, based on 141 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 6, 2026, per Manifold's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.