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Sports · Polymarket

Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25?

Trade on Polymarket →
52.50%
51.2% calibrated
Sep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2546485052545658%52.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$83.0K

Your call

The market says 52.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price52.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability53.00%
1887
Shares
$887
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.9%)
Mid Price
52.5¢
Total Depth
$308,993
Bid/Ask Imbalance
24% bid
Bids (Buy)
52.0¢8,771
51.0¢43,054
50.0¢30,715
49.0¢29,107
48.0¢13,254
47.0¢1,210
46.0¢6,276
45.0¢1,263
Asks (Sell)
53.0¢23,949
54.0¢19,306
55.0¢90,889
56.0¢20,616
57.0¢17,704
58.0¢13,127
59.0¢6,234
60.0¢11,218
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
53.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
53.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
53.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 5 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

France
73.50%
Brazil
61.50%
GeorgiaViewing
52.50%
Australia
15.50%
Türkiye
10.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 52.50%, based on $83.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 25, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.