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Sports · Polymarket

Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-09-26?

Trade on Polymarket →
23.50%
22.8% calibrated
Mon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PM51015202530354045505560%12.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$139.8K

Your call

The market says 23.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price23.50%
Spread + depth−9.29 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability14.21%
7039
Shares
$6,039
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (8.0%)
Mid Price
12.5¢
Total Depth
$206,462
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
12.0¢184
11.0¢1,080
10.0¢794
9.0¢88
8.0¢888
4.0¢75
3.0¢663
2.0¢7,900
Asks (Sell)
13.0¢1,891
14.0¢4,107
15.0¢6,743
16.0¢382
17.0¢222
21.0¢50
26.0¢10
65.0¢10
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
13.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
13.90¢+6.95%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
42.10¢+223.85%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 15 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Finland
99.95%
FC Andorra
99.95%
CD Tenerife
75.50%
Switzerland
73.50%
Spain
48.50%
Iceland
47.50%
Croatia
47.50%
Faroe Islands
33.50%
England
25.50%
KazakhstanViewing
23.50%
North Macedonia
7.50%
Estonia
6.50%
Bulgaria
5.50%
San Marino
0.05%
Granada CF
0.05%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-09-26?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 23.50%, based on $139.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 26, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.