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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
44.50%
45.3% calibrated
Tue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PM30323436384042444648505254%44.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$106.5K

Your call

The market says 44.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price44.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability45.00%
2222
Shares
$1,222
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.2%)
Mid Price
44.5¢
Total Depth
$227,472
Bid/Ask Imbalance
29% bid
Bids (Buy)
44.0¢44,472
43.0¢32,754
42.0¢15,582
41.0¢19,420
40.0¢8,662
39.0¢15,160
38.0¢6,191
37.0¢1,172
Asks (Sell)
45.0¢78,305
46.0¢30,025
47.0¢25,458
48.0¢45,723
49.0¢31,607
50.0¢8,041
51.0¢3,614
52.0¢6,766
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
45.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
45.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
45.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: Germany (-1.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 44.50%, based on $106.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 27, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.