Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Sports · Polymarket

Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?

Trade on Polymarket →
35.50%
37.0% calibrated
Tue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PM25303540455055606570%35.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$59.2K

Your call

The market says 35.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price35.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability36.00%
2778
Shares
$1,778
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.8%)
Mid Price
35.5¢
Total Depth
$190,731
Bid/Ask Imbalance
25% bid
Bids (Buy)
35.0¢18,467
34.0¢27,222
33.0¢39,320
32.0¢28,314
31.0¢14,901
30.0¢4,491
29.0¢3,933
28.0¢1,265
Asks (Sell)
36.0¢35,923
37.0¢53,421
38.0¢29,230
39.0¢25,302
40.0¢24,187
41.0¢6,862
42.0¢6,355
43.0¢5,065
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
36.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
36.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
36.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 10 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

New Zealand
89.50%
Netherlands
69.50%
Denmark
69.50%
Germany
68.50%
Austria
60.50%
Norway
42.50%
Republic of IrelandViewing
35.50%
Portugal
33.50%
Greece
12.50%
Serbia
11.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Similar Sports Markets

Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 424H
42.50%+135

Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?

42.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $328.8K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 324H
33.50%+199

Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?

33.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $109.8K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
11.50%10.0% adj

Will Serbia win on 2026-09-27?

11.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $97.1K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
12.50%+700

Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?

12.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $424.3K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 124H
68.50%-217

Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?

68.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $104.6K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 124H
69.50%-228

Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?

69.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $235.6K

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 35.50%, based on $59.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 27, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.