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Sports · Polymarket

Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?

Trade on Polymarket →
33.50%
35.1% calibrated
Tue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PM25303540455055606570%33.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$109.8K

Your call

The market says 33.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price33.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability34.00%
2941
Shares
$1,941
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.0%)
Mid Price
33.5¢
Total Depth
$277,717
Bid/Ask Imbalance
38% bid
Bids (Buy)
33.0¢30,794
32.0¢36,612
31.0¢59,270
30.0¢70,108
29.0¢62,076
28.0¢34,082
27.0¢20,110
26.0¢20,065
Asks (Sell)
34.0¢106,166
35.0¢50,174
36.0¢50,168
37.0¢17,143
38.0¢32,737
39.0¢6,382
40.0¢3,642
41.0¢6,857
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
34.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
34.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
34.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 10 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

New Zealand
89.50%
Netherlands
69.50%
Denmark
69.50%
Germany
68.50%
Austria
60.50%
Norway
42.50%
Republic of Ireland
35.50%
PortugalViewing
33.50%
Greece
12.50%
Serbia
11.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 33.50%, based on $109.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 27, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.