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Politics · Polymarket

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Trade on Polymarket →
19.40%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 111214161820222426%19.40%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 21.5% in 14d (19.1–24.1%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$59.8K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.6¢ (3.1%)
Mid Price
19.4¢
Total Depth
$16,739,923
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
19.1¢110
19.0¢60
18.9¢10
18.7¢705
18.6¢150
18.4¢100
18.3¢100
18.1¢10
Asks (Sell)
19.7¢27
19.8¢70
19.9¢5
20.0¢36
20.2¢40
20.3¢300
20.4¢50
20.5¢7,898
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
20.17¢+2.37%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
20.47¢+3.89%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
21.55¢+9.37%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 19.40%, based on $59.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 7, 2028, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.