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Culture · Polymarket

Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?

Trade on Polymarket →
4.10%
06 AM12 PM06 PMFri 1106 AM12 PM06 PMSat 1206 AM12 PM06 PMSep 1306 AM12 PM06 PMMon 1406 AM12 PM06 PMTue 1506 AM12 PM051015202530354045%4.10%

Stats

24h Volume
$922

Your call

The market says 4.1%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price4.10%
Spread + depth+70.80 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability74.90%
1335
Shares
$335
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
5.6¢ (136.6%)
Mid Price
4.1¢
Total Depth
$4,065
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
1.3¢11
1.2¢60
0.3¢147
0.2¢306
0.1¢125
Asks (Sell)
6.9¢63
25.0¢200
35.0¢90
42.0¢100
92.2¢70
97.9¢12
98.0¢100
99.0¢8
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
25.86¢+274.78%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
74.90¢+985.58%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
92.30¢+1237.65%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 4.10%, based on $922 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 16, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.